Conditions at Melbourne Beach in October
October: Sizing Up Under Onshore Skies
October brings more power to the coast. Average swell height reaches 0.9m and average period holds at 8.5s. ENE swell is massive, at 43.2% of the distribution, and a significant amount of it is in the 3-5ft (1-1.5m) range, with some 5-6ft (1.5-2m) and even 6-8ft (2-2.5m) lines. NE swell (19.9%) and E swell (21.5%) also keep the ocean active. This is the classic East Coast autumn mix of tropical waves, early Nor'easters and stalled frontal boundaries. However, ideal wind only occurs 14% of the time because the same ENE and NE swell corridors are accompanied by strong ENE (18.8%), NE (13.7%) and E (12.9%) winds. The hunt for a dawn window with light winds and leftover groundswell is the name of the game. Water is still warm at 27.1C and air temps are a pleasant 24.6C.
Average Spot conditions at Melbourne Beach in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Melbourne Beach during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Melbourne Beach for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Melbourne Beach for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Melbourne Beach.