Conditions at Neva Bay in October
October: Serious Swell Returns
October is when Neva Bay starts producing again in a serious way. Average swell height climbs to 8.2ft (2.5m), the period lengthens to 10.4s, and the direction is led by WSW (19.9%) and SW (16.7%), with SSW adding 8.3%. The size distribution shifts solidly into the 1.5-2.5m classes, and there are increasing contributions above 2.5m from the W/WSW quadrant. Autumn lows moving through the Great Lakes generate long westerly fetches and real power. Ideal wind is 24%, and the wind rose shows strong SE/SSE flow, which can be a blessing when it stays light and offshore E/SE, or a curse when it blows hard and lumpy. Water temp is still 10.7°C (51°F) and average rainfall reaches its annual high near 10.07 mm/day. It is time to start charging.
Average Spot conditions at Neva Bay in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Neva Bay during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Neva Bay for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Neva Bay for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Neva Bay.