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State's Avenue • Statistics for May

Conditions at State's Avenue in May

May: Summer Conditions Arrive, Size Fades

May starts to look like summer. The favourable SSE/S/SE/ESE window delivers about 60% of all swell, but the average height drops to 3-4ft (1-1.2m) and the period is 7.2s. Most energy now sits in the 2-3ft (0.6-0.9m) class, with only small pockets of 3-5ft (0.9-1.5m) surf from late-season lows or early tropical systems.

The wind regime turns against us. SSW and SW winds combine for nearly 25% of observations, and S/SE winds add another 18%, leaving less room for offshore NW/WNW flow. Ideal wind is 24%. Water temperature warms to 13.7°C, air temperature averages 15.3°C, and the ocean begins to feel springlike. Dawn patrol, a lower tide and a touch of luck are the formulas for worthwhile waves.

Average Spot conditions at State's Avenue in May

Swell history for May

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for May

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at State's Avenue during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at State's Avenue for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at State's Avenue for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at State's Avenue.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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