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Conditions at The Point in October
October: The Magic Window
October is arguably the best month for the ratio of size to clean conditions at The Point. Average swell height is 1.2m (4ft), but the average period climbs to 10.0s, giving the waves far more power and structure than their raw height suggests. The swell mix shifts toward the northeast, with NE at 44.3 percent and NNE at 22.2 percent, while ENE still adds 19.2 percent. This is the beginning of the proper autumn groundswell season, and the Point can see excellent long-period pulses wrapping around the headland.
Ideal wind remains high at 83 percent, with ENE (24.7 percent) and E (19.8 percent) dominating a light-to-moderate offshore pattern. Water temperature is still warm at 29.1°C and air temps average 28.2°C; rainfall is significant at 4.33 mm/day but often falls in passing tropical showers. October delivers that rare combination of warm water, clean offshore wind, and genuine long-period swell, making it a favorite month for locals.
Average Spot conditions at The Point in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at The Point during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at The Point for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at The Point for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at The Point.