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Conditions at Pennington Bay in November
November: The Late Spring Wobble
November is where the quality window starts to close. Average swell height is still 1.7m (5.6ft) and the period is a moderate 11.3s, but the wind profile degrades noticeably. Ideal offshore wind now appears only 13% of the time, while the onshore SE/SSE/S sector surges back to roughly 49% of all observations. The sea breeze is strong and reliable by late spring, which means most of the day the bay is under bumpy, wind-affected conditions.
The good news is that direct south swell plays a larger role, with S at 15% and SSE at 5%, while SSW remains the dominant direction at 37% and SW adds 29%. Those south swells can still produce fun waves in the morning before the seabreeze flares up. Water temperature is on the rise at 16.3°C, air averages 16.1°C, and rain is low at 0.73mm/day. If you are chasing late spring surf, be on the water at sunrise.
Average Spot conditions at Pennington Bay in November
Swell history for November
Wind history for November
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Pennington Bay during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Pennington Bay for your next trip in November.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Pennington Bay for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Pennington Bay.