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Conditions at Wasaga Beach in November
November: Prime Time for Lake Surf
November is the sweet spot on Nottawasaga Bay. The average wave height builds to 0.6m (2ft), the average period reaches 3.9s, and the NW family dominates the wave rose: NNW 14.8%, NW 11.0%, WNW 9.3%, W 8.8%. There is also a strong contribution from WSW at 8.8%, showing the extra-tropical cyclone belt is active and swinging through. The largest swells of the late fall now show up more frequently, with 1-1.5m (3-5ft) and even 2m+ (6.5ft+) waves in the NNW/NW direction. These are raw, powerful lake windswell events, but they pack a punch on the sandbars.
What really sets November apart is the wind. Ideal surfing hits its second-highest value at 5%, with offshore E/ESE/SE/SSE winds appearing nearly 23% of the time. Onshore W/WNW/NW/NNW flow drops to about 35%, so there are more windows between storms where the lake is moving but the surface is clean. Air temperatures fall to 2.6°C, precipitation is generous at 2.07 mm/day, and water temperatures cool to 6-9°C (43-48°F). This is the month to score a proper thick-hood session; the quality-to-crowd ratio is excellent.
Average Spot conditions at Wasaga Beach in November
Swell history for November
Wind history for November
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Wasaga Beach during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Wasaga Beach for your next trip in November.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Wasaga Beach for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Wasaga Beach.