Conditions at Lances Right in October
October: Light at the End of the Trade-Wind Tunnel
October is the first month in a while where Lances Right starts to become surfable again. Average swell height eases to 0.9m (3ft), period is still a solid 12.6s, and ideal-wind probability climbs to 39%. Swell direction is still mostly SSW at 45.9%, with S at 28.0% and SW at 15.0%, and the 3-5ft (1-1.5m) band remains present, especially from SSW and S. The southeast trade winds are finally weakening-SE drops to 19.1%, SSE to 14.6%-while northwesterly flow begins to reappear. Rain increases to 9.5mm/day as the monsoon transition brings moisture, but the improving wind quality makes October a tempting month to gamble on. Water temp is 28.7°C and the first clean windows are starting to shine through.
Average Spot conditions at Lances Right in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Lances Right during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Lances Right for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Lances Right for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Lances Right.