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Manazillo Bay • Statistics for January

Conditions at Manazillo Bay in January

January: Mid-Winter Westerly Groundswell

January is all about long-period westerly energy lining up with the bay. Roughly 85 percent of the swell arrives from the SW, WSW and W windows, with a dominant 1-1.5m (3-5ft) band and an average period of 13.5s. The wave direction is as good as it gets for the west-facing beach -- the bay is open to the full Pacific fetch, and those long WSW/W pulses wrap in with clean, down-the-line shape. Winds are split between light NNW/NNE flow and occasional WSW/SW sea-breeze pulses, giving the month a 39 percent ideal-wind score. With warm air around 24.9°C, dry skies and water temperature near 28.2°C, winter here feels like a proper surf escape.

Average Spot conditions at Manazillo Bay in January

Swell history for January

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for January

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Manazillo Bay during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Manazillo Bay for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Manazillo Bay for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Manazillo Bay.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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