Conditions at Manazillo Bay in October
October: Big Autumn Swell, Shifting Winds
October is the transition from summer south swells to winter westerlies. The average height remains solid at 1.5m and the period stays in the 13.4s range, with a dominant 73 percent of waves from the SSW and a useful 15 percent from the SW. Tropical cyclone activity can still send significant W/SW swell into the region, and the ideal-wind score stays high at 45 percent as the easterly land-breeze pattern strengthens. Rainfall eases to 3.35 mm/day, water is still warm at 29.8°C, and the mix of size and clean surface makes October one of the best bet months of the fall.
Average Spot conditions at Manazillo Bay in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Manazillo Bay during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Manazillo Bay for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Manazillo Bay for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Manazillo Bay.