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Manazillo Bay • Statistics for May

Conditions at Manazillo Bay in May

May: Big Southern Groundswell, Marginal Winds

May delivers the first serious southern-hemisphere groundswell of the year, with the average height climbing to 1.5m and periods maxing out at 14.2s. It is also the most directionally biased month, with 76 percent of the swell arriving from the SSW. While that energy is long-period and powerful, it is not the most efficient angle for a west-facing beach, and the heavy WSW-SW onshore winds keep the ideal-wind score at just 19 percent. When a dawn window aligns, expect 3-5ft surf with 5-6.5ft bombs mixed in; by midday, wind chop tends to win. Air temperature climbs to 27.6°C and water remains toasty at 28.8°C.

Average Spot conditions at Manazillo Bay in May

Swell history for May

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for May

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Manazillo Bay during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Manazillo Bay for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Manazillo Bay for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Manazillo Bay.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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