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Conditions at Troncones in January
January: Peak Clarity and Slick Offshore Windows
January is the heart of the clean season at Troncones. The average swell sits right around 1.2m (4ft) with a 13.5s period - exactly the long-period, organized swell that this SSW-facing beach loves. The dominant energy comes from the SSW (14.7%), SW (34.7%) and WSW (32.4%) quadrants, with the bulk of waves falling in the fun, rippable 1-1.5m (3-5ft) range. These are not heavy lumps; they are clean, lined-up, long-period groundswell waves that hold up beautifully on the sandbars.
The wind story is the real winner. High pressure across mainland Mexico and the southern U.S. locks in a N to ENE offshore flow, and ideal winds blow 52% of the time - the second-best figure of the year. Light N/NNE winds dominate overnight and through the morning, grooming the swell into glassy, hollow walls. Water temp remains a warm 28.2°C, air temps average 24.9°C, and precipitation is low (0.53 mm/day). Expect peak conditions at first light, after any night-time offshore breeze has done its work.
Average Spot conditions at Troncones in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Troncones during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Troncones for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Troncones for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Troncones.