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Conditions at El Silencio in October
October: A Transition Window of Lighter Winds
October arrives with the swell height easing slightly to around 6ft (1.8m), but the period remains solid at 13.2s. The directional picture becomes cleaner, with SSW swell reclaiming 87% of the distribution and the S component dropping back to 7%. This means the swell lines are more consistent and better aligned with El Silencio's southwest exposure. There is still plenty of grunt in the water - nearly 75% of the readings fall between 5ft and 8ft (1.5m and 2.5m) - making for some excellent overhead sessions when the surface allows.
Wind, however, is still the bottleneck. S and SSW winds combine for around 75% of all observations, and 10-20kph SSW and SW winds are common, keeping ideal wind at 1%. Water temperature ties the annual minimum at 15.2°C, while air temperatures start to climb slightly to 17.1°C. The transition into spring means occasional clear, calm dawns around the edges of high-pressure systems. Those are the moments to drop everything and go.
Average Spot conditions at El Silencio in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at El Silencio during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at El Silencio for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at El Silencio for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at El Silencio.