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Conditions at Mancora in February
February: Consistency Wavers as the Swell Spreads
February remains in the low season, with average swell height steady at 5ft (1.5m) and a long 14-second period. The swell direction shifts even more towards SW, with SW producing 57% of the total energy and WSW another 21%, while SSW drops to 15%. The height distribution still clusters around 3-5ft (1-1.5m) and 5-6.5ft (1.5-2m), but the overall energy is less organized than in winter. The absence of N/NW swell is again a key takeaway: the only real surf comes from the southern quadrant.
Wind quality takes a step back. The ideal offshore wind percentage drops to 52%, the second-lowest of the year. SSW and SW winds are still common, but W and WNW winds are prominent, and there is an increase in N/NW components, meaning more cross-shore or onshore texture can spoil the surface. With average air temperature at 25.1°C, water at 24.5°C and precipitation increasing to 2.2 mm/day, February is one of the most tropical months. Catch a clean early window and you will still find fun, long-period waves, but this is not the month to chase maximum quality.
Average Spot conditions at Mancora in February
Swell history for February
Wind history for February
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Mancora during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Mancora for your next trip in February.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Mancora for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Mancora.