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Mancora • Statistics for May

Conditions at Mancora in May

May: The Winter Conveyor Belt Locks In

May is the real start of the best surf season at Mancora. Average swell height jumps to 6ft (1.8m), period stays at 14.1 seconds, and the SSW direction dominates with a massive 88% of all swell energy. The height distribution is beautifully skewed: 58% in the 5-6.5ft (1.5-2m) range and 22% in the 6-8ft (2-2.5m) range. This is powerful, long-period, organized groundswell, exactly what a surf break needs for shape and holding power.

Wind quality improves dramatically. Ideal offshore winds now occur 70% of the time, with SSW and SW winds together accounting for 49% of the wind rose and WSW adding another 17%. Speeds are mostly in that sweet 10-20kph range, grooming the swell and keeping the surface clean. Dry-season conditions arrive: precipitation falls to 0.41 mm/day and water temperature cools to 21.6°C. If you want maximum waves per session, May is the month to start watching the forecast.

Average Spot conditions at Mancora in May

Swell history for May

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for May

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Mancora during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Mancora for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Mancora for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Mancora.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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