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Conditions at Horseshoe in February
February: Consistency Holds, Wind Bites
February is nearly a clone of January in the swell department, with an average height of 5ft (1.6m) and a period of 9.4s. The NE monsoon continues to feed the Philippine Sea, and the swell distribution shows NE at 49.1% and ENE at 43.1%. Combined, over 80% of the swell comes straight out of the east/northeast, and the largest slice sits in the 3-5ft (1-1.5m) range with a further 30% plus in the 5-6ft (1.5-2m) range. This is serious, rideable surf if the surface stays clean.
The problem is the wind. ENE accounts for 32% of the wind and NE another 24.4%, with E adding 16.9% - all onshore angles for this east-facing spot. Ideal wind plummets to 1%, the lowest of the year. In practice, expect a lot of textured, wind-blown faces and a constant battle for shelter. The most likely scoring window comes from a brief NW/WNW flow behind a cold front or a morning offshore before the trades rebuild. Water temp remains tropical at 27.6°C, air 27.0°C, and precipitation drops to 12.7mm/day.
Average Spot conditions at Horseshoe in February
Swell history for February
Wind history for February
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Horseshoe during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Horseshoe for your next trip in February.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Horseshoe for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Horseshoe.