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Horseshoe • Statistics for March

Conditions at Horseshoe in March

March: The Monsoon Begins to Wane

March is the tail end of the prime northeast monsoon swell season. The average height eases to 4ft (1.3m) and period still holds at 9.5s, so there are plenty of fun, head-high waves. The swell direction continues to be dominated by ENE - 55.9% of observations - with NE still contributing 40.4%. Interestingly, the ENE window is the most favorable angle for Horseshoe's east exposure, so the waves often have a cleaner, more organized feel than the midwinter NE-swell events. The 1-1.5m (3-5ft) class accounts for a huge 60% of the swell energy.

Wind remains the monkey wrench, however, with ENE at 29.8%, E at 20.9%, and NE at 19.6% combining to keep things mostly cross-onshore. Ideal wind is just 2%. Still, as the monsoon weakens, the trades tend to be lighter and more variable, and there are early-morning windows of clean lineup. With air temperature 27.2°C, water 27.9°C and only 8.3mm/day of rain, surface conditions are warm and spring-like. It is a solid month for a surfer who wants quality waves without the swollen, lumpy winter energy.

Average Spot conditions at Horseshoe in March

Swell history for March

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for March

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Horseshoe during March. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Horseshoe for your next trip in March.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Horseshoe for March. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Horseshoe.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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