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Ponta do Paul • Statistics for October

Conditions at Ponta do Paul in October

October: The North Atlantic Roars Back to Life

The North Atlantic roars to life in October, and the numbers show it. Average swell height climbs to 6-7ft (1.8-2.1m) with a period of 11.5s, and the percentage of energy in the 1.5-2.5m range climbs sharply. The distribution still leans on NNW at 35.4% and NW at 18%, but the important signal is the increase in W/WSW/SW windows compared with summer. When those westerly swell angles align with an incoming low pressure, Ponta do Paul switches into a much more powerful, hollow mode.

Winds are ideal 45% of the time, with NNE at 19.3% and NE at 16.9% leading the offshore flow regime. Air temperatures remain warm at 21.8°C, water still holds at 23.0°C, while rain starts to pick up to 1.39mm/day. For a surfer, this is the month when the summer lull dies and the serious long-period forecast watches begin.

Average Spot conditions at Ponta do Paul in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Ponta do Paul during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Ponta do Paul for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Ponta do Paul for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Ponta do Paul.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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