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Buffels Bay • Statistics for November

Conditions at Buffels Bay in November

November: Summer Onshore Trade Winds Tighten Their Grip

November marks the start of the summer lull in surface quality. Ideal wind frequency sits at just 25%, with ESE (14.4%) and E (12.3%) again leading the wind field and SE adding another 8.0%, all onshore or cross-onshore at Buffels Bay. Average swell is still 8ft (2.4m) and period is 11.0s, but the directional spread is built mostly on SSW (19.4%) and SW (19.4%) swells, with the favourable S/SSE/SE/ESE corridor playing second fiddle. The shorter period and persistent ESE trades combine to make the bay lumpy and less defined, although early-season frontal systems can still inject a clean, long-period SW swell if a cut-off low settles near the coast and flips winds offshore. Air temps are warming to 17.6°C, water temperatures to 18.2°C, and precipitation is highest at 1.88 mm/day; expect thundery showers in unstable conditions.

Average Spot conditions at Buffels Bay in November

Swell history for November

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for November

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Buffels Bay during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Buffels Bay for your next trip in November.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Buffels Bay for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Buffels Bay.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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