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Conditions at Buffels Bay in October
October: Spring Swing and Trade-Wind Return
October is a fickle month. The average swell height is still a healthy 8ft (2.5m), but periods have dropped slightly to 11.1s and ideal wind frequency falls to 28%. The trades are back in force: ESE (13.6%) and E (13.3%) dominate, while WSW (12.4%) and W (10.3%) winds also create more mixed, cross-shore conditions. Swell direction is more evenly spread between SSW (14.4%) and SW (15.0%), with a notable return of SE (6.3%) and SSE (6.5%) energy. This means the bay can still see fun, clean S/SSE swell during a light NW offshore under a spring high, but onshore ESE winds will spoil many days. Crowds begin to thin, and water temp climbs to 16.9°C. Air temps average 16.4°C with 1.63 mm/day precipitation, a typical spring mix.
Average Spot conditions at Buffels Bay in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Buffels Bay during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Buffels Bay for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Buffels Bay for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Buffels Bay.