Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Anchor Point seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life during these months, driving powerful, long-period swell into the Moroccan coastline. Average wave heights hover around 2.0-2.2m with periods consistently above 12 seconds, providing the raw energy needed for Anchor Point to light up. However, a critical caveat remains: the vast majority of this swell arrives from the NW to NNW — not the ideal SW to W window. This means that while the ocean is pumping, the waves wrap into the bay with a less than optimal angle, often leading to a shiftier, less defined peak. The saving grace is the wind. From October through March, offshore flow from the NNE to ENE dominates, with ideal wind frequencies ranging from 55-64%. This combination of solid size, long period, and clean offshore winds still produces plenty of pumping, heavy sessions — especially when a storm track dips far enough south to generate a true SW swell. The best chance for perfection lies during the latter half of this season.

Fair Surf Season (April - May & September)

As the North Atlantic storm track begins to weaken or rebuild, the trade-offs become more pronounced. Swell heights drop to the 1.5-1.8m range and periods shorten to 9-11 seconds, resulting in good but not great conditions. The swell direction remains stubbornly slanted from the NW and NNW, with very little direct W or SW energy. Wind becomes a bigger variable: ideal offshore breezes blow only 43-54% of the time, and the increasing presence of onshore SW to WSW flow can ruin the wave face on many afternoons. These transitional months are best described as fun and rippable when the conditions align, but inconsistent. Early morning windows on an active swell can still deliver solid rippable waves, but don't expect the long, grinding walls of winter.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

Summer brings a dramatic drop in both swell size and quality. The average wave height plateaus at a paltry 1.6m, and periods plummet to 7.8-8.4 seconds — short-period, choppy windswell. The swell direction becomes almost exclusively NNW (93.8% in July and August), which offers the worst possible alignment for Anchor Point's SW-facing bay. These waves break with little power and often close out in sections. Wind, however, is a mixed bag: offshore flow remains relatively frequent (45-58% ideal), but the small swell rarely justifies a paddle out unless you're a longboarder or beginner looking for small, fun-sized waves. The sea breeze often kicks up early, adding bump. This is the season for a well-deserved break or for exploring other spots along the coast that might better capture the NW energy.

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Conditions at Anchor Point in October

October: Quality Returns — Wind and Swell Align

October is when Anchor Point truly starts to deliver again. The average swell height climbs to 1.8m with a solid 11.6s period — powerful, long-period for the season. The directional distribution still favors NNW (53.1%) and NW (30.4%), but the WNW and W components increase to 3.7% and 0.6% respectively. This might not seem like much, but these westerly pulses are the ones that wrap ideally into the bay. The wind becomes very favorable: ideal offshore 59% of the time, with a nice mix of N (11.6%), NNE (7.4%), NE (5.9%), and E (7.4%) winds providing clean, glassy conditions. The NW wind (14.1%) is cross-shore but often manageable. Storm systems ramping up in the North Atlantic send consistent swell. While the dominant direction is still north of ideal, the increased frequency of westerly components and long periods means that many days offer pumping, heavy waves, especially if you pick the right tide.

Average Spot conditions at Anchor Point in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Anchor Point during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Anchor Point for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Anchor Point for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Anchor Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size