Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Avalanche seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (June - August)

The Southern Ocean roars to life during the austral winter, sending powerful, long-period groundswells marching toward the Western Cape. June through August sees the highest average wave heights (2.3-2.4m) and periods (12.2-12.5s), dominated by SSW and SW swell – directions that wrap into Avalanche's NNE-facing beach. However, this raw power comes at a cost: offshore wind (S through WSW) blows only 18-21% of the time, with frequent E to NE onshore flows messing up the lineup. When a strong winter low-pressure system aligns with a brief southerly wind, the result is pumping, heavy waves with clean faces – the kind that make the long paddle worth it.

Fair Surf Season (April - May, September - November)

The shoulder seasons offer a compromise between size and cleanliness. In April and May, average swell holds at 2.1-2.2m with periods creeping toward 12s, while ideal wind percentages improve to 23-25%. September to November sees similar dimensions (2.1-2.3m, 10.8-11.7s) and offshore wind frequencies around 22-25%. These months are transitional: the Southern Ocean is still active, but high-pressure systems are less dominant, allowing more S-SW wind days. The waves are often fun, solid, and rippable, especially when a passing cold front delivers a clean, glassy window. You won't score the biggest sets, but you'll find more rideable, groomed lines.

Low Surf Season (December - March)

The summer months bring the most consistent offshore wind conditions (28% ideal – the highest of the year), with wind blowing steadily from the S to SW quadrant. Unfortunately, this coincides with the lowest average swell heights (1.9-2.0m) and shortest periods (10.7-11.4s). The predominant SSW and SW swells are still present, but they lack the power and period to generate real punch. December through March is the 'micro season' at Avalanche: you'll often find clean, groomed 1-1.5m waves – fun-sized and groveling – but don't expect any pumping, heavy days. Light offshore winds morning and evening can make for a pleasant surf session, but the lack of any north quadrant swell keeps the spot from firing.

Loading chart...

Conditions at Avalanche in November

November: Building Summer Energy

November sees the swell level off at 2.1m with a period of 10.8s – similar to summer averages. Swell is heavily SSW (25.5%) and SW (17.7%), with S at 12.8%. The wind improves to 25% ideal, as the E wind (15.7%) and WSW wind (17.9%) continue. This month marks the start of the summer wind regime: steadier, lighter offshore flows from the south. The waves are mostly 1.5-2.5m (over 37% in that bracket), offering decent punch. The long period is fading, but the cleanliness is increasing. For surfers who prefer groomed waves over raw power, November offers a sweet spot. Expect good morning sessions before the sea breeze fills in.

Average Spot conditions at Avalanche in November

Swell history for November

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for November

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Avalanche during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Avalanche for your next trip in November.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Avalanche for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Avalanche.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size