Bucerias - surf spot statistics

Bucerias, Mexico, offers relatively consistent surf conditions year-round, but the best months for surfers generally fall between November and March. During this period, ground swell dominates (90-96% occurrence), providing the most reliable wave energy, while wind conditions are most favorable, with good winds 74-79% of the time. The mean swell size hovers around 0.8-0.9m, suitable for intermediate surfers or those looking for relaxed sessions. January stands out as the peak month, combining 93% ground swell, 78% good wind conditions, and a manageable 0.9m wave height. February and December follow closely, with similar swell consistency and solid wind stats. From April onward, good wind conditions decline, and by June-August, onshore winds become more prevalent (bad winds 50-51%), reducing surf quality despite decent ground swell persistence. September-October sees a slight rebound in swell consistency, but wind conditions remain inconsistent. While summer months (June-August) tend to have smaller, wind-affected waves and more no-swell days (up to 11%), winter delivers cleaner, more dependable surf. Overall, advanced surfers may find Bucerias best in winter for its reliability, while beginners can enjoy the smaller summer waves if they don’t mind occasional chop.

October in Bucerias delivers consistent surf with an average swell height of 0.8m and a solid 14.4s period, ensuring well-spaced, clean waves ideal for intermediate to advanced surfers. The swell predominantly comes from the SSW to SW (over 60% of the time), producing rideable waves in the 0.5-1.5m range, with occasional bigger sets up to 2.5m. Winds are favorable 66% of the time, typically light (0-20kph) and offshore or cross-shore from the NE to E in the mornings, glassing up conditions, while afternoon sea breezes from the W or NW are generally mild. Expect peak consistency mid-month as SW swells align best with the break. While not heavy or hollow, the long-period energy and favorable wind patterns make October a reliable month for smooth, rippable waves.