Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Bucerias seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (November - March)

The winter months bring the most reliable offshore winds to Bucerias, with ideal conditions occurring upwards of 80% of the time. While the dominant swell shifts to a more westerly and northwesterly direction, the long-period nature of these swells (averaging 13-14 seconds) ensures plenty of power. The wave heights typically range from fun 0.5m to solid 1.5m, offering clean, groomed lines for your longboard or hybrid. The combination of offshore breeze and long-period groundswell creates some of the most user-friendly and beautiful surf of the year.

Fair Surf Season (April, May, September, October)

April and May mark a transition as the winter swell pattern gives way to more southerly energy. Wind consistency decreases slightly, but the swell direction becomes more favorable for the SW-facing beach. September and October see a similar pattern, with the potential for larger swells from the South Pacific hurricane belt. While wind conditions are not as reliable as winter, the window of opportunity expands with more direct SW swell, delivering punchy waves in the waist-to-shoulder high range when the wind plays ball.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

The summer months are the quietest for Bucerias in terms of surf quality. The wind becomes predominantly onshore from the southwest, ruining the wave faces. Although the swell direction is perfect from the SW and SSW, the lack of consistent offshore winds means the waves are often choppy and messy. The swell heights remain small to moderate, averaging around 1.0m, and frequent thermal winds kick up during the day. Early mornings might offer a brief window of clean conditions, but overall, this is the least consistent time for a surf trip.

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Conditions at Bucerias in October

October: Transition to Consistency

October is a transition month where the wind starts to improve while the swell direction remains favorable. Ideal wind percentage rises to 73%, offering more clean days. Swell is still predominantly from the southwest and west-southwest, providing direct energy. The average wave height is 1.0m with a long period of 13.5s. The North Pacific winter storm track begins to awaken, contributing to the swell mix. This is an excellent month for those looking for consistent, clean, fun waves without the crowds of winter.

Average Spot conditions at Bucerias in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Bucerias during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Bucerias for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Bucerias for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Bucerias.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size