Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Caswell Beach seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic flexes its muscles as autumn deepens into winter, delivering a consistent barrage of powerful, long-period swell to Caswell Beach. Average wave heights hover between 1.2m and 1.6m, with periods often stretching into the 10-second range, yielding punchy, rideable waves that wrap into the south-facing bay. While the dominant swell direction is from the WSW–W (not an optimal fetch), the moderate to strong storms spinning off Greenland and Iceland frequently send a healthy component of S to SW swell that aligns perfectly with the beach’s exposure. The trade-off? Onshore winds from the south and southwest blow a significant portion of the time, but when the Azores High ridges in or a cold front clears to the east, crisp northerly offshore winds (N, NNE, NO, NNW) clean up the lines. This is the window for the best surf of the year – think head-high to overhead bombs during active NAO-negative phases.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

April and September represent the transitional shoulders, where the ocean’s energy is mellowing or building. The average swell drops to around 0.9m with periods around 8–9 seconds – enough for fun, groveling waves on a longboard or fish. Swell is still predominantly from the WSW–W, but the south component weakens, making it trickier to capture the ideal S–SW swell. However, wind patterns become more variable. Offshore northerlies still occur about 15% of the time in April and 12% in September, offering clean sessions if you pick your days. Expect smaller, more inconsistent surf, but when a late-season southwesterly gale brushes the UK or an early autumn low spins up, you can score a surprise chest-high swell with glassy conditions. It’s a gamble, but the rewards come with lighter crowds.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer settles in and Caswell Beach enters its quietest phase. Average wave heights drop to a paltry 0.7–0.8m, and periods shorten to 7–8 seconds, producing weak, choppy surf that rarely breaks cleanly. The swell direction remains stubbornly from the WSW–W, which is far from ideal for the south-facing beach – the waves tend to be messy, soft, and quickly close out. Offshore wind opportunities shrink to just 11–12% of the time, and even those light northerlies can’t overcome the lack of swell energy. Persistent high pressure over the British Isles leads to long stretches of flat, calm conditions. If you’re desperate for a session, a summer southwesterly sea breeze might kick up some ankle-biters, but this is the time to explore other hobbies or wait for the first autumn storms to reignite the Atlantic machine.

Loading chart...

Conditions at Caswell Beach in October

October: The Season Returns

October sees a sharp jump in average swell to 1.2m and period to 8.6s, signaling the true return of the North Atlantic. Swell direction shifts: WSW (35.3%) and W (18.2%) remain, but the optimal SW (12.3%) and SSW (4.0%) increase significantly. The average period is still a bit short (8.6s), but low pressure systems are now frequent, bringing more powerful swell as the month progresses. Wind is a challenge – ideal conditions drop to 11%, with onshore winds from S (6.1%), SSW (7.3%), and SW (9.3%) blowing often. But the classic October setup is a deep low tracking east of Iceland, swinging a southwesterly swell into the channel, followed by a cold front that ushers in north-northwest winds. Those post-frontal days are magic: clean, powerful waves from 1–2m with long period – the best of the early season. Keep your wetsuit ready.

Average Spot conditions at Caswell Beach in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Caswell Beach during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Caswell Beach for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Caswell Beach for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Caswell Beach.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size