Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Cauit Point seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - November)

October marks the sweet spot at Cauit Point as the northeast monsoon begins to build, delivering long-period groundswell from the NE-ENE quadrant. The average swell height sits at a modest 0.7m in October, but the period stretches to 10.2s, bringing powerful, well-organized lines. More importantly, the frequency of offshore winds from the SW-WNW reaches a yearly high of 46%, often combining clean conditions with these slow, peeling waves. November sees a jump in swell size to a fun 1.0m average, with 25% ideal winds—still a solid window where you can find peaky, rideable waves before the onshore trade winds strengthen.

Fair Surf Season (December - March)

The core of the NE monsoon pumps consistent, sizable swell into Cauit Point from December through March. Average heights range from 1.0m to 1.3m with periods in the 9-10s range, offering plenty of punchy, rippable waves. However, the dominant wind pattern shifts to northeasterly directions (NNE, NE, ENE), which are directly onshore for this east-northeast-facing beach. Ideal wind percentages plummet to between 7% and 14%, meaning clean conditions are rare and often short-lived. When the wind does clock around to the west or northwest—usually during a passing cold front—the spot can absolutely fire with hollow, lined-up walls. Patience and a sharp eye on the forecasts are key during these months.

Low Surf Season (April - September)

From April through September, the southwest monsoon takes hold, drastically reducing both swell size and consistency. Average heights drop below 1.0m, bottoming out at 0.5m in July and August, with periods hovering around 9 seconds. While the percentage of offshore wind (from SW-WNW) improves—peaking at 36% in September—the swell is simply too small to make the most of it. April and May can still deliver the occasional fun-sized day in the 0.5-1m range, especially if a distant storm sends a longer-period pulse. But overall, this is a period of groveling conditions, where a soupy, micro-swell meets a predominantly onshore breeze from the south and southeast. For serious waves, look elsewhere during these months.

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Conditions at Cauit Point in May

May: The Onshore Shift

May ushers in the southwest monsoon. Average swell height falls to 0.7m at 8.9s, with ENE (62.7%) and E (27.4%) swells dominating—almost all in the 0.5-1m category. The wave period dips below 9s, indicating a weaker, short-period swell that rarely builds much push. Wind directions swing around to the southeast and south (SE 13.1%, SSE 13.3%, S 9.0%), all onshore for this east-facing break. However, the lighter winds (mostly 0-20kph) keep conditions from becoming too messy, and the ideal offshore percentage rises to 24%. On the rare day when the wind clocks to the SW-WNW, you can score clean but small waves—perfect for a log or a soft-top.

Average Spot conditions at Cauit Point in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cauit Point during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cauit Point for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cauit Point for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cauit Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size