Cauit Point - surf spot statistics

Best Surf Season (October - November)

October marks the sweet spot at Cauit Point as the northeast monsoon begins to build, delivering long-period groundswell from the NE-ENE quadrant. The average swell height sits at a modest 0.7m in October, but the period stretches to 10.2s, bringing powerful, well-organized lines. More importantly, the frequency of offshore winds from the SW-WNW reaches a yearly high of 46%, often combining clean conditions with these slow, peeling waves. November sees a jump in swell size to a fun 1.0m average, with 25% ideal winds—still a solid window where you can find peaky, rideable waves before the onshore trade winds strengthen.

Fair Surf Season (December - March)

The core of the NE monsoon pumps consistent, sizable swell into Cauit Point from December through March. Average heights range from 1.0m to 1.3m with periods in the 9-10s range, offering plenty of punchy, rippable waves. However, the dominant wind pattern shifts to northeasterly directions (NNE, NE, ENE), which are directly onshore for this east-northeast-facing beach. Ideal wind percentages plummet to between 7% and 14%, meaning clean conditions are rare and often short-lived. When the wind does clock around to the west or northwest—usually during a passing cold front—the spot can absolutely fire with hollow, lined-up walls. Patience and a sharp eye on the forecasts are key during these months.

Low Surf Season (April - September)

From April through September, the southwest monsoon takes hold, drastically reducing both swell size and consistency. Average heights drop below 1.0m, bottoming out at 0.5m in July and August, with periods hovering around 9 seconds. While the percentage of offshore wind (from SW-WNW) improves—peaking at 36% in September—the swell is simply too small to make the most of it. April and May can still deliver the occasional fun-sized day in the 0.5-1m range, especially if a distant storm sends a longer-period pulse. But overall, this is a period of groveling conditions, where a soupy, micro-swell meets a predominantly onshore breeze from the south and southeast. For serious waves, look elsewhere during these months.

September: Glimmers of Hope

September shows signs of the coming transition. The average swell height creeps up to 0.6m with a solid period of 9.9s, indicating a shift toward longer-period groundswell. Swell directions broaden: NE (21.1%), ENE (31.4%), and E (19.2%) provide a mix of small but punchy waves. The wind is still predominantly from the south (S 15.3%, SSE 10.8%, SSW 10.2%), but the frequency of offshore SW-WNW winds reaches a notable 36%—the highest since October. This combination of longer-period swell and cleaner winds makes September the best month of the low season. If you pick your window carefully, you can find clean, ripable waist-high waves on a longboard.