Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Cauit Point seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - November)

October marks the sweet spot at Cauit Point as the northeast monsoon begins to build, delivering long-period groundswell from the NE-ENE quadrant. The average swell height sits at a modest 0.7m in October, but the period stretches to 10.2s, bringing powerful, well-organized lines. More importantly, the frequency of offshore winds from the SW-WNW reaches a yearly high of 46%, often combining clean conditions with these slow, peeling waves. November sees a jump in swell size to a fun 1.0m average, with 25% ideal winds—still a solid window where you can find peaky, rideable waves before the onshore trade winds strengthen.

Fair Surf Season (December - March)

The core of the NE monsoon pumps consistent, sizable swell into Cauit Point from December through March. Average heights range from 1.0m to 1.3m with periods in the 9-10s range, offering plenty of punchy, rippable waves. However, the dominant wind pattern shifts to northeasterly directions (NNE, NE, ENE), which are directly onshore for this east-northeast-facing beach. Ideal wind percentages plummet to between 7% and 14%, meaning clean conditions are rare and often short-lived. When the wind does clock around to the west or northwest—usually during a passing cold front—the spot can absolutely fire with hollow, lined-up walls. Patience and a sharp eye on the forecasts are key during these months.

Low Surf Season (April - September)

From April through September, the southwest monsoon takes hold, drastically reducing both swell size and consistency. Average heights drop below 1.0m, bottoming out at 0.5m in July and August, with periods hovering around 9 seconds. While the percentage of offshore wind (from SW-WNW) improves—peaking at 36% in September—the swell is simply too small to make the most of it. April and May can still deliver the occasional fun-sized day in the 0.5-1m range, especially if a distant storm sends a longer-period pulse. But overall, this is a period of groveling conditions, where a soupy, micro-swell meets a predominantly onshore breeze from the south and southeast. For serious waves, look elsewhere during these months.

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Conditions at Cauit Point in October

October: The Sweet Spot

October is the standout month at Cauit Point. The average swell height remains modest at 0.7m, but the period jumps to 10.2s, delivering long-period groundswell that wraps into the coast with real power. Swell directions favor NE (43.6%) and ENE (28.8%), with the bulk in the 0.5-1m range. The wind climate undergoes a dramatic improvement: ideal offshore winds from the SW-WNW blow 46% of the time, the highest of any month. This is due to the strengthening of the northeast monsoon interacting with occasional westerly pulses. The result is clean, lined-up waves that, while not huge, offer a delightful combination of shape and rideability. This is the time to be glued to the forecast for those 1-1.5m pulses.

Average Spot conditions at Cauit Point in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cauit Point during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cauit Point for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cauit Point for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cauit Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size