Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Golf Course Reef seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (April - May)

As the subtropical high-pressure belt settles into its autumn rhythm, Golf Course Reef comes alive. April and May deliver the most balanced conditions of the year. The percentage of ideal offshore wind from the west peaks near 50-57%, while the Pacific still pumps reliable east-northeast swell. With average wave periods climbing into the 9-second range, you get punchy, ripable waves that hold shape under glassy westerly winds. This is the sweet spot for consistent, quality surf.

Fair Surf Season (March & September - October)

March and the spring months of September and October offer a solid backup window. Swell direction is more favorable for this east-facing reef during March, with a higher proportion of NE to ESE waves, but onshore winds are more frequent (ideal wind around 31-35%). September and October see a reversal: offshore wind reliability improves to 35-45%, but the swell shifts southward as winter storms dominate. You'll need to pick your days when a passing low-pressure system aligns a clean east pulse with a westerly change.

Low Surf Season (November - February & June - August)

Summer (November through February) is plagued by persistent onshore trade winds from the NE to ESE, with ideal offshore wind occurring only 22-26% of the time. Although the swell is abundant and often sizeable from the east quadrant, the constant onshore flow shreds the waves into choppy, sectiony messes. Winter (June to August), on the other hand, delivers exceptional offshore wind reliability (50-57%) but the dominant swell shifts far south (SSE-S), which wraps into the coast poorly and rarely lines up well at this east-facing spot. You'll score the occasional long-period south swell with clean conditions, but it's inconsistent and often too heavy or too small.

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Conditions at Golf Course Reef in January

January: Summer Swell & Onshore Trade Wind Blues

January is peak summer on the east coast, and the swell reflect it: the average height sits at 1.7m with a period of just 8.1 seconds, indicative of short-period trade wind swell. A whopping 54% of the swell comes from the optimal NE-ESE directions, with the largest contributions from NE (17%) and ENE (14%). Good news for wave quantity, but the wind tells a different story. Ideal offshore winds from the west (SW, WSW, W, WNW) occur only 22% of the time. The prevailing wind is from the NE and NNE (14% and 12% of total wind at moderate speeds), directly onshore and deteriorating the wave quality. Most days you'll find choppy, blown-out conditions unless a weak southerly change or land breeze sets up early morning. Look for those rare windows when a high-pressure system drifts south, allowing light westerlies to groom the peaks.

Average Spot conditions at Golf Course Reef in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Golf Course Reef during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Golf Course Reef for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Golf Course Reef for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Golf Course Reef.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size