Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Golf Course Reef seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (April - May)

As the subtropical high-pressure belt settles into its autumn rhythm, Golf Course Reef comes alive. April and May deliver the most balanced conditions of the year. The percentage of ideal offshore wind from the west peaks near 50-57%, while the Pacific still pumps reliable east-northeast swell. With average wave periods climbing into the 9-second range, you get punchy, ripable waves that hold shape under glassy westerly winds. This is the sweet spot for consistent, quality surf.

Fair Surf Season (March & September - October)

March and the spring months of September and October offer a solid backup window. Swell direction is more favorable for this east-facing reef during March, with a higher proportion of NE to ESE waves, but onshore winds are more frequent (ideal wind around 31-35%). September and October see a reversal: offshore wind reliability improves to 35-45%, but the swell shifts southward as winter storms dominate. You'll need to pick your days when a passing low-pressure system aligns a clean east pulse with a westerly change.

Low Surf Season (November - February & June - August)

Summer (November through February) is plagued by persistent onshore trade winds from the NE to ESE, with ideal offshore wind occurring only 22-26% of the time. Although the swell is abundant and often sizeable from the east quadrant, the constant onshore flow shreds the waves into choppy, sectiony messes. Winter (June to August), on the other hand, delivers exceptional offshore wind reliability (50-57%) but the dominant swell shifts far south (SSE-S), which wraps into the coast poorly and rarely lines up well at this east-facing spot. You'll score the occasional long-period south swell with clean conditions, but it's inconsistent and often too heavy or too small.

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Conditions at Golf Course Reef in October

October: Spring Swell Rebuilds, Wind Still Fickle

October sees the swell period drop to 8.3 seconds, but the direction becomes more east-focused: NE (12%), ENE (9.7%), E (7.3%), and ESE (7.7%) total 36.7%—a decent improvement. However, ideal offshore wind slips to 35% as spring weather systems bring more variable flows. The wind is often from the NW (6.5%) and SSE (7.7%) or even onshore NE (7.5%). The surf is often a battle between building NE swell and variable winds. When a high-pressure system sits to the south, light offshores groom the east swell into clean, rippable lines. Average height holds at 1.8m, so there's plenty of volume. It's a month where you need to watch the synoptic patterns closely—when it comes together, the quality is fantastic; otherwise, it's choppy and disorganized.

Average Spot conditions at Golf Course Reef in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Golf Course Reef during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Golf Course Reef for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Golf Course Reef for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Golf Course Reef.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size