Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Green Island seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (June – August)

As winter tightens its grip on the Southern Hemisphere, the Tasman Sea roars to life. The combination of strong frontal systems sweeping up from the Southern Ocean and a steady ridge of high pressure to the south funnels consistent, long-period S to SSE swells directly into the island's southeast-facing setup. Offshore flow from the prevailing NW to NNW winds becomes the norm, with ideal wind percentages peaking near 53% in July. This is Green Island at its finest – pumping, glassy, and firing.

Fair Surf Season (April – May & September – October)

The transitional shoulder months bring a mixed bag. Swell direction already favors the SE quadrant, and average heights hover around a solid 1.6-1.7m with periods stretching into the 8-9s range. However, the wind regime is more fickle – while offshore breezes dominate a decent chunk of the time, lingering onshore S to ESE pulses can chop up what would otherwise be pristine lines. Expect fun, rippable waves with occasional windows of perfection when a high-pressure system parks itself overhead.

Low Surf Season (November – March)

The summer months see a downturn in both swell quality and wind consistency. The storm tracks retreat poleward, leaving behind a diet of short-period, weaker E to NE swell that rarely aligns with the spot's optimal SE exposure. On top of that, the trade wind influence strengthens, with persistent ESE to S onshore winds ruining the groomed face. While the odd pulse from a tropical depression or a late-season cold front can salvage a session, the general rule of thumb is smaller, choppier and less reliable surf.

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Conditions at Green Island in January

January: Summer Slump and Sloppy Swells

Mid-summer in the Coral Sea means the dominant swell sources shift to the E and NE, leaving Green Island starved of its preferred SSE to S groundswell. The average wave height sits at 1.6m, but the period is a mediocre 8.1s, indicative of shorter-period windswell. The wind data shows a mere 35% of the time blowing offshore (N to NW), while the onshore quadrants – particularly SSE and S – blow frequently enough to keep the surface textured. The SSE swell direction contributes 14.6% of the total, but it often arrives wrapped in an onshore breeze, killing its potential. Look for early morning windows of light variable wind, but don't expect any epic sessions.

Average Spot conditions at Green Island in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Green Island during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Green Island for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Green Island for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Green Island.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size