Green Island seasonal overview
Best Surf Season (June – August)
As winter tightens its grip on the Southern Hemisphere, the Tasman Sea roars to life. The combination of strong frontal systems sweeping up from the Southern Ocean and a steady ridge of high pressure to the south funnels consistent, long-period S to SSE swells directly into the island's southeast-facing setup. Offshore flow from the prevailing NW to NNW winds becomes the norm, with ideal wind percentages peaking near 53% in July. This is Green Island at its finest – pumping, glassy, and firing.
Fair Surf Season (April – May & September – October)
The transitional shoulder months bring a mixed bag. Swell direction already favors the SE quadrant, and average heights hover around a solid 1.6-1.7m with periods stretching into the 8-9s range. However, the wind regime is more fickle – while offshore breezes dominate a decent chunk of the time, lingering onshore S to ESE pulses can chop up what would otherwise be pristine lines. Expect fun, rippable waves with occasional windows of perfection when a high-pressure system parks itself overhead.
Low Surf Season (November – March)
The summer months see a downturn in both swell quality and wind consistency. The storm tracks retreat poleward, leaving behind a diet of short-period, weaker E to NE swell that rarely aligns with the spot's optimal SE exposure. On top of that, the trade wind influence strengthens, with persistent ESE to S onshore winds ruining the groomed face. While the odd pulse from a tropical depression or a late-season cold front can salvage a session, the general rule of thumb is smaller, choppier and less reliable surf.
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Conditions at Green Island in November
November: Summer is Coming – Smaller and Choppier
November sees a further decline in quality. Average swell height is 1.6m, period drops to 7.9s, and offshore wind percentages fall to 38%. The dominant swell directions shift toward the NE and ENE (combined nearly 29%), which are not optimal for the spot's SE exposure. The wind data shows strong onshore components from the S and SSE, ruining many sessions. The wave period is often in the 7-8s range, producing choppy, crumbly conditions. Surfable, but rarely inspiring. If you're willing to gamble, late-month frontal systems can occasionally sneak in a clean S swell with offshore NW winds, but these are exceptions.
Average Spot conditions at Green Island in November
Swell history for November
Wind history for November
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Green Island during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Green Island for your next trip in November.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Green Island for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Green Island.
