Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Green Island seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (June – August)

As winter tightens its grip on the Southern Hemisphere, the Tasman Sea roars to life. The combination of strong frontal systems sweeping up from the Southern Ocean and a steady ridge of high pressure to the south funnels consistent, long-period S to SSE swells directly into the island's southeast-facing setup. Offshore flow from the prevailing NW to NNW winds becomes the norm, with ideal wind percentages peaking near 53% in July. This is Green Island at its finest – pumping, glassy, and firing.

Fair Surf Season (April – May & September – October)

The transitional shoulder months bring a mixed bag. Swell direction already favors the SE quadrant, and average heights hover around a solid 1.6-1.7m with periods stretching into the 8-9s range. However, the wind regime is more fickle – while offshore breezes dominate a decent chunk of the time, lingering onshore S to ESE pulses can chop up what would otherwise be pristine lines. Expect fun, rippable waves with occasional windows of perfection when a high-pressure system parks itself overhead.

Low Surf Season (November – March)

The summer months see a downturn in both swell quality and wind consistency. The storm tracks retreat poleward, leaving behind a diet of short-period, weaker E to NE swell that rarely aligns with the spot's optimal SE exposure. On top of that, the trade wind influence strengthens, with persistent ESE to S onshore winds ruining the groomed face. While the odd pulse from a tropical depression or a late-season cold front can salvage a session, the general rule of thumb is smaller, choppier and less reliable surf.

Loading chart...

Conditions at Green Island in July

July: The Sweet Spot – Maximum Offshore Consistency

July offers the highest percentage of offshore wind all year at 53%. Average swell height is 1.7m, but the period is the longest of any month at 9.5s. The winds are overwhelmingly from the NW, WNW and W – a dream for any southeast-facing break. Swell direction sees the S and SSE quadrants combining for nearly 30% of the total, with significant SW and SSW contributions adding variety. The result is a lineup full of clean, powerful lines that can range from fun waist-high rollers to head-high beasts. The long period ensures the wave wraps in with real push. If you can plan a trip around July, you'll be rewarded with the most consistent, glassy conditions Green Island has to offer.

Average Spot conditions at Green Island in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Green Island during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Green Island for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Green Island for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Green Island.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size