Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Guarda do Embau seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

During the austral winter, Guarda do Embau comes alive with its most consistent and quality surf. The dominant South Atlantic high-pressure system strengthens, pushing a procession of cold fronts northward. These fronts generate long-period S to SE swell that wraps into the east-facing beach, producing punchy, rideable waves in the 1-1.5m range. Critically, the frequency of offshore winds from WSW, W, and WNW peaks during these months, with ideal wind occurring 34-39% of the time. This is the sweet spot – clean, lined-up waves with occasional pumping sets when the period exceeds 10s. Expect fun-sized to solid conditions, especially in June and July when the trade wind inversion relaxes, allowing lighter morning breezes.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

The transitional months of April and September offer a mixed bag. In April, the last of the summer heat still brings unstable conditions, but the swell window opens wider as the first winter lows develop. Offshore wind frequency climbs to 26%, and average wave periods push above 9s. September sees the winter pattern winding down: stronger swells (avg 1.5m) from the ESE and SE arrive, but the wind becomes more fickle with stronger N to NNE flows limiting clean windows to about 20% of the time. If you time it right, these months can deliver glassy mornings with chest-high waves.

Low Surf Season (October - March)

From spring through late summer, Guarda do Embau struggles with inconsistent, onshore-dominant conditions. The South Atlantic Convergence Zone and frequent trade winds from the N and NE keep the region under a persistent onshore flow (bad winds from ONO, O, OSO, SO dominate). Swell is predominantly short-period (sub-9s) and from the E to ESE – hitting the beach head-on. However, the average height remains a rideable 1.2-1.3m, so small, groveling waves are often present. Occasional cold front passages in October and November can bring a burst of southerly swell and a brief window of offshore W winds, but these windows are scarce (14-16% ideal wind). For the patient surfer, micro-sessions on a log can still be had amid the summer chop.

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Conditions at Guarda do Embau in October

October: Spring Onslaught – Inconsistent, Windy

October is tough at Guarda do Embau. Offshore wind frequency plummets to 16%, and the wind regime is dominated by NNE (25%) and N (15.5%), with speeds often exceeding 20 kph. Swell is still substantial, averaging 1.4m with a period of 8.6s. The E direction (26.3%) is the main contributor, but the ESE and SE also bring solid waves. However, the persistent onshore wind from the north and northeast degrades quality significantly. The rare cold front can deliver a day of offshore W wind and a clean, overhead swell, but such days are few. October is best considered a low-surf month for consistent quality; when it's good, it's very good, but patience is required.

Average Spot conditions at Guarda do Embau in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Guarda do Embau during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Guarda do Embau for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Guarda do Embau for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Guarda do Embau.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size