Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Isla Grande seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - October)

Summer brings the sweet spot for Isla Grande. While average swell heights drop to a modest 0.8-1.4m, the trade winds weaken dramatically and become more variable. The percentage of time with ideal offshore wind from the SW, WSW, or W jumps to 25-42%, compared to just 1% in winter. This means that the consistent NE background swell (which still dominates over 70% of the time) can actually be surfable. Expect fun-sized waves in the 1-1.5m range with clean faces and occasional punch from longer period pulses associated with tropical waves. The key is waiting for the afternoon sea breeze to swing offshore or a passing trough to bring light southerly flow. This is the window for the best surf quality at Isla Grande.

Fair Surf Season (April & November)

These transitional months offer a mix of winter's power and summer's finesse. April sees the tail end of the strong NE trades, with average swell still at 1.3m but ideal wind only 5% – a rare treat when it aligns. November benefits from the retreat of the trades, with ideal wind 28% and swell rebuilding toward winter levels (1.1m average). Both months can deliver pumping surf if a cold front pushes through the region, flipping winds to the offshore quadrant. However, consistency is low; be prepared to wait out the prevalent onshore flow.

Low Surf Season (December - March)

The winter months are the heart of the dry season, dominated by the relentless NE trade winds. The Azores-Bermuda High strengthens, channeling strong winds from the NNE through ENE across the Caribbean. This creates the largest average surf of the year (1.6-1.8m) with robust 8-second periods, but the wind is almost always onshore – blowing from the same direction as the swell. Only 1-7% of the time does the wind swing to an offshore direction (SSW-W). When that rare combo happens, you get overhead, powerful waves at Isla Grande. But for the most part, expect choppy, blown-out conditions. This season is best for those seeking size and are willing to battle the wind, or for experienced chargers on big wave craft.

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Conditions at Isla Grande in May

May: The Sweet Spot Emerges

May marks the beginning of the best surf season at Isla Grande. Swell height averages 1.1m, period 7.4s, with NE still contributing 89.7% of the energy. But the critical shift is in the wind: ideal offshore wind now occurs 25% of the time. The trades are much weaker – NNE and NE winds combine for only 40% (down from 76% in April), and light variable winds from all quadrants increase dramatically. Winds from the south, southwest, and west (offshore directions) total 12% of the time. This means there are many more clean surfable days. The waves are smaller, in the fun-sized groveling range of 0.5-1.5m, but with the offshore flow, they peel nicely. May is a prime month for intermediate surfers and longboarders.

Average Spot conditions at Isla Grande in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Isla Grande during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Isla Grande for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Isla Grande for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Isla Grande.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size