Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Isla Grande seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - October)

Summer brings the sweet spot for Isla Grande. While average swell heights drop to a modest 0.8-1.4m, the trade winds weaken dramatically and become more variable. The percentage of time with ideal offshore wind from the SW, WSW, or W jumps to 25-42%, compared to just 1% in winter. This means that the consistent NE background swell (which still dominates over 70% of the time) can actually be surfable. Expect fun-sized waves in the 1-1.5m range with clean faces and occasional punch from longer period pulses associated with tropical waves. The key is waiting for the afternoon sea breeze to swing offshore or a passing trough to bring light southerly flow. This is the window for the best surf quality at Isla Grande.

Fair Surf Season (April & November)

These transitional months offer a mix of winter's power and summer's finesse. April sees the tail end of the strong NE trades, with average swell still at 1.3m but ideal wind only 5% – a rare treat when it aligns. November benefits from the retreat of the trades, with ideal wind 28% and swell rebuilding toward winter levels (1.1m average). Both months can deliver pumping surf if a cold front pushes through the region, flipping winds to the offshore quadrant. However, consistency is low; be prepared to wait out the prevalent onshore flow.

Low Surf Season (December - March)

The winter months are the heart of the dry season, dominated by the relentless NE trade winds. The Azores-Bermuda High strengthens, channeling strong winds from the NNE through ENE across the Caribbean. This creates the largest average surf of the year (1.6-1.8m) with robust 8-second periods, but the wind is almost always onshore – blowing from the same direction as the swell. Only 1-7% of the time does the wind swing to an offshore direction (SSW-W). When that rare combo happens, you get overhead, powerful waves at Isla Grande. But for the most part, expect choppy, blown-out conditions. This season is best for those seeking size and are willing to battle the wind, or for experienced chargers on big wave craft.

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Conditions at Isla Grande in November

November: The Swing Month

November averages 1.1m swell with 7.3s period, up from October. NE swell is still the main source at 68.4%, but NNE grows to 15.1% and N to 3.8%. This is the precursor to winter. The wind shows a sharp increase in onshore trades: NNE and NE winds combine for 36%, up from 17% in October. However, ideal wind is still decent at 28%. The variability is higher – there's still a good mix of southerly and westerly flows. Surf can be excellent when a front passes, bringing strong west winds and a fresh NE swell. You can see both 1m clean fun waves and bigger, wind-affected surf. November is a gambler's month: you might score epic late-season sessions or get stuck in onshore mush. Worth watching the charts closely.

Average Spot conditions at Isla Grande in November

Swell history for November

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for November

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Isla Grande during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Isla Grande for your next trip in November.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Isla Grande for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Isla Grande.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size