Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Itacoatiara seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

The South Atlantic winter roars to life during these months, driven by a climatological strengthening of the polar front and a steady procession of extratropical cyclones spinning up between 40°S and 50°S. At Itacoatiara, this translates into a consistent diet of mid-period to long-period S and SSW groundswells that march right into our SSW-facing beach. Average wave heights hover between 1.4m and 1.5m, with periods often pushing into the 10–11s range – powerful, punchy, and full of potential. Light to moderate offshore winds from the north quadrant (N, NNE, NE, NNW) blow over 60% of the time, grooming the waves into clean, rippable walls. This is the sweet spot: solid winter swell combined with reliable morning offshores. The most consistent and best-quality surf of the year arrives now.

Fair Surf Season (March - April & September - October)

Shoulder months in the South Atlantic bring a transition in both swell and wind regimes. March and April still benefit from the tail end of the winter storm track, delivering average swell heights of 1.2–1.4m and periods of 10.4–10.6s. However, the wind window shifts: ENE and E trades become stronger and more frequent, reducing the percentage of ideal offshore conditions to around 57%. You’ll find fun-sized waves in the morning before the seabreeze kicks in. September and October mark the spring transition; average swell remains decent at 1.3–1.5m with periods around 10s, but the wind becomes less cooperative – ideal offshore frequency drops to 47–49%. Swell directions also shift eastward more often (ESE, SE), which don’t quite line up with the beach as well as pure S or SSW pulses. You can still score, but you’ll need to pick your windows carefully, especially early or late in the day.

Low Surf Season (November - February)

Summer settles over Itacoatiara from November through February, and the surf takes a noticeable chill pill. The South Atlantic storm track retreats poleward, leaving the region in a high-pressure‑dominated pattern. Average wave heights drop to 1.1–1.3m and periods retreat to the 9.5–9.8s range – average, rideable, but lacking power. The swell spectrum is dominated by short‑ to mid‑period ESE and SE pulses that are often too small or too weak to really light up the sandbank. On the bright side, offshore wind frequencies are actually quite good (55–64%), thanks to a persistent land breeze regime that kicks in during the night and early morning. This means you can often find clean waist‑high waves, but the lack of size and punch makes it a groveling season. For those days when a southern hemi groundswell sneaks through, Itacoatiara can still turn on, but such events are the exception, not the rule.

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Conditions at Itacoatiara in October

October: Warming Waters, Squally Swells

October sees the tail end of the winter swell season: average height 1.3m, period 10.0s. Swell still arrives from the south quadrant – SSE (26.3%), S (22.5%), SE (21.2%), and ESE (19.2%) – but the wave heights are shifting downward: most are in the 1–1.5m range, with fewer overhead sets. Offshore wind frequency falls to 47%, the lowest of the year. The trade wind (ENE 23.5%, E 21.6%) blusters most of the day, making clean conditions a rare commodity. North‑quadrant offshore winds (N, NNE, NE, NNW total only ~9%) are infrequent and often light. Still, October can surprise with a late‑season S groundswell that lights up the beach. The best surf comes in the early morning before the seabreeze ramps up. Expect chest‑high waves on average, with the occasional head‑high day if you time it right. It’s a month for the dedicated surfer who doesn’t mind a bit of chop for a chance at a fun, punchy wave.

Average Spot conditions at Itacoatiara in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Itacoatiara during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Itacoatiara for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Itacoatiara for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Itacoatiara.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size