Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

La Bocana seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

As the North Pacific transitions into its stormy winter pattern, La Bocana comes alive with consistent, quality surf. The months from October through March bring a higher frequency of offshore wind conditions, with northerly breezes (N, NNE, NW, NNW) grooming the waves. Swell direction during this period is more varied, but the most favorable pulses come from the south and southwest (S, SSW, SW), often delivered by powerful extratropical cyclones tracking across the Pacific. These long-period groundswells (averaging 11-13 seconds) wrap nicely into the south-facing beach, offering clean, rippable waves in the 1-1.5m range. The combination of reliable offshore winds and solid S/SSW swell makes this the prime window for scoring the best conditions at La Bocana.

Fair Surf Season (April - June)

Spring brings a shift in the atmospheric regime. The North Pacific storm track weakens, but the South Pacific and local tropical influences start to send more consistent, long-period S/SSW swell towards Baja. Average wave heights climb to 1.5-1.6m with periods often exceeding 13 seconds. The trade-off is a noticeable increase in afternoon onshore winds from the west and southwest (WSW, SW), which can degrade wave faces. However, morning sessions frequently enjoy light variable winds, often from the east or northeast (E, NE) that stay clean before the sea breeze kicks in. This is a solid 'shoulder season' – expect fun, sometimes pumping waves with a narrower window of truly glassy conditions.

Low Surf Season (July - September)

Summer in Baja is characterized by warm tropical waters and the potential for hurricane-induced swell, but surf conditions at La Bocana become less consistent and more challenging. While the average swell height remains solid (1.6-1.7m) and periods are long (13-14s), the dominant swell direction shifts to S and SSW, which is favorable. The main issue is the wind regime. The percentage of ideal, offshore wind drops to its lowest levels of the year (43-50%). Thermal gradients drive persistent afternoon onshore winds from the west and southwest (SW, WSW, W), often creating bumpy, choppy waves even when significant swell arrives. Dawn patrol checkers will find the cleanest conditions, but overall, this period demands patience and a willingness to surf with less-than-perfect texture.

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Conditions at La Bocana in May

May: Peak Swell Size, Wind Challenges

May delivers the first true peak of the year, with an average swell height of 1.6m and a long period of 14.1 seconds. The swell direction is overwhelmingly from the SSW (70.0%) with another 15.0% from S, making for perfect southern exposure. Wind conditions are ideal 40% of the time, but the dominant winds shift to WSW (18.9%), W (15.2%), and SW (14.4%) – again mainly onshore. Lighter winds from the E and NE are still relatively common in the mornings (totaling 10%+). The combination of long-period, sizable SSW swell and variable morning offshore breezes (when they occur) can produce epic conditions. This is the month for chasing those glassy, lined-up waves before the afternoon southerly wind messes things up.

Average Spot conditions at La Bocana in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at La Bocana during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at La Bocana for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at La Bocana for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at La Bocana.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size