Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Mangamanu seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (April - September)

Winter in the Southern Hemisphere fires up the South Pacific storm track, delivering the most consistent and powerful swell to Mangamanu. From April through September, average wave heights range from 1.7m to 2.0m with periods frequently exceeding 10 seconds, often reaching the powerful 10-14s bracket. Critically, the wind is ideal for surfing 58% to 78% of the time, with a dominant flow from the west, northwest, and north-northwest that blows cleanly offshore across the Southeast-facing beach. This combination of solid, long-period swell from the south and southeast and reliable offshore winds creates firing, rippable conditions day after day. Storms spinning up in the Roaring Forties send long-period groundswells that wrap into the bay, and when a high-pressure system settles in over the Tasman Sea, expect glassy mornings and pumping afternoon sessions.

Fair Surf Season (October - March)

Spring and autumn bring a transition in the synoptic setup. From October through March, the average swell height drops slightly to 1.5-1.7m, and the average period settles in the 9-10s range – still punchy, but lacking the raw power of winter. The percentage of ideal offshore wind falls to 43-58%, with more frequent interruptions from onshore easterly and southeasterly breezes that can chop up the surface. However, this season also sees a greater variety of swell directions, including occasional pulses from the optimal east and east-southeast quadrants that light up the point. When a cold front and post-frontal westerlies align, you can still score fun, clean waves, especially early or late in the day.

Low Surf Season (December - February)

During the height of summer, the surf takes a distinct step down. From December through February, the average wave height hovers around 1.5-1.6m, and the period drops to 9.1-9.8s – still rideable but often weaker and more inconsistent. The wind blows offshore only 43-48% of the time, with frequent afternoon sea breezes from the northeast and east that ruin the surface. Swell energy is lower, and many days are dominated by small, short-period windswell from the east and southeast. That said, a long-period south swell can still sneak in now and then, and if you pick your windows when a westerly wind blows, you'll find clean, fun-sized waves in the 0.5-1.5m range. It is not a total write-off, but patience is key.

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Conditions at Mangamanu in April

April: Winter Warm-Up – Consistent and Clean

April is a prime month at Mangamanu. Average swell height reaches 1.8m with a period of 10.7s, delivering powerful, long-period energy. South swell peaks at 24.9% of all waves, while SSE adds 15.5% and SE contributes 10.9% – perfect for the beach's SE orientation. Over a third of all waves are in the 1.5-2.5m range, offering heavy, hollow walls for advanced surfers. The wind turns decisively offshore, with ideal conditions 58% of the time. Northwest winds dominate at 12.5%, backed up by NNW (9.0%) and NW (7.1%). Onshore breezes from the east and northeast drop to under 16% combined. The synoptic pattern features deepening lows south of New Zealand that fire consistent SSW-to-SE groundswells, while high pressure drifts over the Tasman Sea, locking in westerly winds. Expect morning glass-offs and afternoon sea breezes that stay manageable.

Average Spot conditions at Mangamanu in April

Swell history for April

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for April

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Mangamanu during April. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Mangamanu for your next trip in April.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Mangamanu for April. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Mangamanu.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size