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Nestles - surf spot statistics
Nestles seasonal overview
Best Surf Season (December - March)
The heart of the dry season brings consistent offshore winds from the north and northeast, creating clean, glassy conditions at Nestles. With average swell heights around 0.7-0.8m and long periods ranging from 11.8 to 13.3 seconds, the waves are punchy and well-organized. The dominant SSW and SW swell directions are perfectly aligned with the south-southwest-facing beach, delivering rideable waves that are often fun-sized to solid. This is prime time to score, with ideal wind percentages peaking at 47% in February.
Fair Surf Season (April & November)
The transition months see a shift in the wind regime. April still benefits from some lingering northerly flow (31% ideal wind), while November marks the return of slightly improved conditions after the wet season. Swell heights inch up slightly in April to 0.8m with very long periods (13.8s), but onshore winds become more frequent. November brings more consistent swell from SSW and SW, but wind quality remains marginal. These months offer occasional windows of good surf if you pick the right days.
Low Surf Season (May - October)
The wet season dominates from May through October, characterized by persistent onshore winds from the south and southwest that ruin wave quality. Ideal wind percentages plummet to as low as 9% in October. While swell heights increase to 1.0m on average and periods remain long (12-14s), the constant onshore flow chops up the waves, making conditions largely poor for surfing. The Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) sits overhead, bringing unstable air and frequent rain. Surfable moments are rare and typically require a strong high-pressure system to the north to briefly push offshore winds.
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Conditions at Nestles in February
February: Peak Offshore Consistency and Punchy Swell
February offers the highest ideal wind percentage of the year at 47%. The northerly trades are well established, keeping the beach blown offshore and the surface smooth. Swell continues to pour in from the SSW (86.4%) and SW (13.4%), with average heights steady at 0.7m and period extending to 12.8s. The combination of long period and clean offshore wind creates punchy, rippable waves that peel nicely along the sandbars. While still primarily small, the occasional 1-1.5m set rolls through. This is a stellar month for consistent dawn patrols.
Average Spot conditions at Nestles in February
Swell history for February
Wind history for February
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Nestles during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Nestles for your next trip in February.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Nestles for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Nestles.