Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Nestles seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (December - March)

The heart of the dry season brings consistent offshore winds from the north and northeast, creating clean, glassy conditions at Nestles. With average swell heights around 0.7-0.8m and long periods ranging from 11.8 to 13.3 seconds, the waves are punchy and well-organized. The dominant SSW and SW swell directions are perfectly aligned with the south-southwest-facing beach, delivering rideable waves that are often fun-sized to solid. This is prime time to score, with ideal wind percentages peaking at 47% in February.

Fair Surf Season (April & November)

The transition months see a shift in the wind regime. April still benefits from some lingering northerly flow (31% ideal wind), while November marks the return of slightly improved conditions after the wet season. Swell heights inch up slightly in April to 0.8m with very long periods (13.8s), but onshore winds become more frequent. November brings more consistent swell from SSW and SW, but wind quality remains marginal. These months offer occasional windows of good surf if you pick the right days.

Low Surf Season (May - October)

The wet season dominates from May through October, characterized by persistent onshore winds from the south and southwest that ruin wave quality. Ideal wind percentages plummet to as low as 9% in October. While swell heights increase to 1.0m on average and periods remain long (12-14s), the constant onshore flow chops up the waves, making conditions largely poor for surfing. The Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) sits overhead, bringing unstable air and frequent rain. Surfable moments are rare and typically require a strong high-pressure system to the north to briefly push offshore winds.

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Conditions at Nestles in May

May: Onshore Winds Take Over, Swell Builds

May marks the onset of the wet season, with ideal wind crashing to 17%. The dominant winds shift to WSW, W, and WNW, all onshore for the S-SSW-facing beach. Swell remains from SSW (85.5%) and SW (14.5%), but average height jumps to 0.9m as the 1-1.5m class accounts for 23.4% of SSW swell. Period stays very long at 13.8s, so when the wind does go offshore (rare), the waves are powerful and excellent. Unfortunately, most days are bumpy and choppy. Focus on early mornings or storm fronts that briefly flip the wind.

Average Spot conditions at Nestles in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Nestles during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Nestles for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Nestles for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Nestles.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size