Nuevo Vallarta - surf spot statistics

Nuevo Vallarta benefits from consistent ground swells year-round, with the highest reliability from January to May when ground swells dominate 92-94% of the time and average swell heights hover around 0.9m. During these months, wind conditions are also most favorable, particularly in January (69% good winds), December (68%), and February (64%), making them the prime window for surfers seeking clean, rideable waves. The swell consistency drops slightly from June to September, with ground swells dipping to 77-80% and no-swell days increasing, especially in July-August when wind conditions worsen (only 46-47% favorable). However, September brings a slight rebound in swell quality (79% ground swells, 0.9m) before improving further in October (86%). Late autumn through early winter (October-December) offers a solid compromise—decent swell consistency (86-89%) and improving winds (58-68% good), though with marginally smaller waves (0.7-0.8m). For ideal surf, prioritize January to February when swell reliability, size, and offshore winds align best, while May onward sees increasing onshore winds and lower consistency, particularly in midsummer (June-August). Advanced surfers may still find workable waves in shoulder seasons (October, April), but the winter months deliver the most optimal balance of power and conditions.

February in Nuevo Vallarta offers decent surf conditions with a mix of rideable swells and generally favorable winds. The average swell height is 0.9m, supported by a solid 14.5s period, ensuring consistent, well-spaced waves with good energy. The dominant swell direction comes from the WNW (58.3% of waves between 0.5-2.5m), providing clean, organized waves that peel nicely along the beach. Smaller contributions from WSW, SW, and W add variety, though most waves fall in the 0.5-1.5m range—ideal for intermediate surfers. Winds are favorable 64% of the time, primarily light to moderate (0-20kph) from NNE, NE, and NW, keeping conditions clean. Stronger winds (>20kph) occasionally occur from the north but are less frequent. Expect smaller, mellow days but also occasional overhead sets (1.5-2.5m) on WNW swells for more advanced surfers. Overall, February delivers reliable, fun-sized surf with good shape and minimal wind disruption.