Nuevo Vallarta - surf spot statistics

Nuevo Vallarta benefits from consistent ground swells year-round, with the highest reliability from January to May when ground swells dominate 92-94% of the time and average swell heights hover around 0.9m. During these months, wind conditions are also most favorable, particularly in January (69% good winds), December (68%), and February (64%), making them the prime window for surfers seeking clean, rideable waves. The swell consistency drops slightly from June to September, with ground swells dipping to 77-80% and no-swell days increasing, especially in July-August when wind conditions worsen (only 46-47% favorable). However, September brings a slight rebound in swell quality (79% ground swells, 0.9m) before improving further in October (86%). Late autumn through early winter (October-December) offers a solid compromise—decent swell consistency (86-89%) and improving winds (58-68% good), though with marginally smaller waves (0.7-0.8m). For ideal surf, prioritize January to February when swell reliability, size, and offshore winds align best, while May onward sees increasing onshore winds and lower consistency, particularly in midsummer (June-August). Advanced surfers may still find workable waves in shoulder seasons (October, April), but the winter months deliver the most optimal balance of power and conditions.

November in Nuevo Vallarta offers generally favorable conditions for surfers, with a consistent but modest swell averaging 0.7m and a solid period of 14.4s, ensuring well-formed, clean waves. The dominant swell direction comes from the SSW, SW, and WSW, with a significant portion (22-23%) of waves in the 0.5-1m range and occasional sets up to 1.5-2m, providing variety for different skill levels. Wind conditions are ideal 65% of the time, primarily light to moderate (0-20kph) from the NE, ENE, and WNW, which helps maintain clean faces without excessive chop. The rarity of strong onshore winds or stormy conditions means November delivers reliable, rideable waves—best suited for intermediate surfers on smaller days and more experienced riders when occasional larger swells push through. The combination of manageable swell height, long period, and favorable winds makes it a dependable month for quality sessions.