Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

P-Land seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (December - March)

The heart of the dry season brings a reliable regime of light offshore easterly winds and consistent, long-period SSW groundswells. With average periods hovering around 12-13 seconds and wind favorable 23-48% of the time, this window offers the most frequent opportunities for clean, fun-sized waves. The Pacific storm track in the Southern Hemisphere is active, sending pulses of energy that wrap into the bay, often delivering waist-to-chest high surf that holds its shape beautifully under glassy skies.

Fair Surf Season (April, May, November)

The transition months see a gradual weakening of the trade winds as the Intertropical Convergence Zone migrates north. Onshore breezes become more prevalent, but sporadic strong offshore days still occur, especially early in the season. The Southern Ocean swell machine remains churning, producing punchy 6-9s energy mixed with occasional longer period swells. Surf size can bump up to head-high, but wind consistency is the limiting factor. April still offers 32% favorable wind, making it the best of the mid-season months.

Low Surf Season (June - October)

The rainy season dominates, and the wind patterns flip, with persistent onshore westerlies and southwesterlies blowing 70-90% of the time. Ideal wind drops to an abysmal 4-12%. Swell heights increase slightly to around 1m, with more 1-1.5m sets, but the quality is heavily compromised by bumpy, choppy surface conditions. Long-period energy is still present (12-13s average), but it's largely wasted as blown-out, lumpy waves. Early mornings before the seabreeze ramps up can offer fleeting windows of clean surf, but overall this is the time to explore other breaks or stay home.

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Conditions at P-Land in October

October: Mixed Signals

October shows a slight uptick in favorable wind to 4% – still dire, but a hint of improvement. Onshore winds continue to dominate, but the wind rose begins to show more variability. Swell direction becomes more westerly, with SW nearly equaling SSW (48.7% vs 49.9%). This is a good sign for more direct exposure. Average height stays at 1.0m, with 26% in the 1-1.5m range and even some 1.5-2m sets (1.1%). Period averages 12.4s. While the wind remains a problem, the swell direction is becoming more favorable. The occasional cold front passage can temporarily clean things up.

Average Spot conditions at P-Land in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at P-Land during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at P-Land for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at P-Land for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at P-Land.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size