Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Panga Drops seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - October)

These months deliver the peak of the year at Panga Drops. The trade winds relax, opening the door for lighter offshore breezes from the NE and ENE that groom the wave faces to perfection. Simultaneously, the southern hemisphere winter kicks into gear, sending powerful, long-period swell from the S, SSW, and SW straight into this SSW-facing beach. The average wave period consistently sits in the 12-14 second range, delivering powerful, long period waves that stand up nicely over the reef. The result is clean, rippable surf in the fun, solid 1-1.5m range, with occasional pumping 1.5-2m days. This is the window to book your trip.

Fair Surf Season (April & November)

These shoulder months offer a mixed bag. The swell direction shifts, with April seeing the first influx of southern hemi groundswell (SSW and SW) and November clinging to the tail end of it. However, the wind consistency is less reliable. In April, the trades are retreating and the ideal wind percentage climbs to 17%, while in November the trades are strengthening, giving 25% ideal conditions. You'll find good waves on the right days, but be prepared to work around more variable wind and a higher chance of onshore flow. Periods remain in the average to powerful range, providing punchy surf.

Low Surf Season (December - March)

Winter is dominated by the strong, persistent ENE trade winds. While these are offshore at Panga Drops, they blow with serious intensity – often 20-40+ kph – creating bumpy, wind-affected conditions. The ideal wind percentage plummets to 4-9%. Swell is predominantly from the ENE and NE, which is far from optimal for this south-facing spot. Periods drop to the 8-9 second range, producing average, punchy waves at best, but more often choppy and messy conditions. Wave heights hover around 1.3-1.4m, but the lack of quality makes it largely a time to wait for a lull in the trades. Surfable, but far from the spot's potential.

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Conditions at Panga Drops in October

October: Fall Perfection

October matches September with the highest ideal wind percentage of the year at 40%. The trades are in their weakest state, and the wind blows from the NE and ENE mostly light to moderate. Swell direction remains excellent: SSW (29%) and SW (43%) dominate, and the period averages 12.7 seconds. Wave heights are 1.2m on average, with many days in the fun, solid category. This is the tail end of the southern hemi swell window, but it's still pumping. The combination of light offshore winds and powerful, well-directed swell creates the classic glassy Panga Drops sessions. A perfect month for a surf trip before the trades return.

Average Spot conditions at Panga Drops in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Panga Drops during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Panga Drops for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Panga Drops for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Panga Drops.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size