Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Panga Drops seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - October)

These months deliver the peak of the year at Panga Drops. The trade winds relax, opening the door for lighter offshore breezes from the NE and ENE that groom the wave faces to perfection. Simultaneously, the southern hemisphere winter kicks into gear, sending powerful, long-period swell from the S, SSW, and SW straight into this SSW-facing beach. The average wave period consistently sits in the 12-14 second range, delivering powerful, long period waves that stand up nicely over the reef. The result is clean, rippable surf in the fun, solid 1-1.5m range, with occasional pumping 1.5-2m days. This is the window to book your trip.

Fair Surf Season (April & November)

These shoulder months offer a mixed bag. The swell direction shifts, with April seeing the first influx of southern hemi groundswell (SSW and SW) and November clinging to the tail end of it. However, the wind consistency is less reliable. In April, the trades are retreating and the ideal wind percentage climbs to 17%, while in November the trades are strengthening, giving 25% ideal conditions. You'll find good waves on the right days, but be prepared to work around more variable wind and a higher chance of onshore flow. Periods remain in the average to powerful range, providing punchy surf.

Low Surf Season (December - March)

Winter is dominated by the strong, persistent ENE trade winds. While these are offshore at Panga Drops, they blow with serious intensity – often 20-40+ kph – creating bumpy, wind-affected conditions. The ideal wind percentage plummets to 4-9%. Swell is predominantly from the ENE and NE, which is far from optimal for this south-facing spot. Periods drop to the 8-9 second range, producing average, punchy waves at best, but more often choppy and messy conditions. Wave heights hover around 1.3-1.4m, but the lack of quality makes it largely a time to wait for a lull in the trades. Surfable, but far from the spot's potential.

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Conditions at Panga Drops in September

September: The Sweet Spot

September is arguably the best month of the year at Panga Drops. The trades reach their annual minimum intensity, with the ENE wind component dropping to just 37% – and 19% of that is in the light 10-20 kph range. The ideal wind percentage climbs to 39%. Swell is overwhelmingly from the SSW (33%) and SW (42%), meaning almost three-quarters of the waves come from the optimal direction. The average wave period of 12.9 seconds keeps the energy powerful and consistent. Wave height averages 1.2m, but the quality is exceptional: clean, lined-up, and well-shaped. September delivers the full package: light offshore winds, perfect swell angle, and long-period groundswell. Surfers, take note.

Average Spot conditions at Panga Drops in September

Swell history for September

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for September

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Panga Drops during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Panga Drops for your next trip in September.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Panga Drops for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Panga Drops.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size