Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Petacalco seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (December - February)

The heart of winter delivers the most consistent conditions at Petacalco. With the North Pacific storm track firing, long-period SSW to SW swells roll in with average heights around 0.9-1.0m and periods pushing 13s+. Crucially, the wind is offshore (from the W to NNW) over 59% of the time in December and January, dropping to 53% in February. This combo means clean, groomed waves – often in the fun to solid range (0.5-1.5m) – with the occasional pumping set when a stronger storm aligns. The offshore flow strips the faces, creating rippable walls and long, peeling lines. It’s the prime window for quality surf at this southeast-facing beach.

Fair Surf Season (October - November & March - April)

Shoulder months bring a mix of potential and compromise. October and November see a ramp-up in swell energy (average 1.1-1.3m, periods 13.2s) as extratropical storms intensify, but the offshore wind frequency decreases to 50-59%. March and April maintain decent swell heights (1.1-1.3m) and periods (13.5-14.0s), yet the wind consistency drops to 50-52%. During these months, you’ll find plenty of rideable days, especially when winds clock around from the north. However, the window for pristine conditions narrows – you need to pick your days carefully. The swell is often powerful and long-period, but onshore flows (from S-SW) can quickly spoil the party.

Low Surf Season (May - September)

Summer and early fall are the most challenging for surfers at Petacalco. While average swell heights actually peak in September at 1.5m, the wind quality plummets – ideal offshore winds occur only 41-47% of the time. The dominant winds shift to S, SW, and WSW, which are onshore for this southeast-facing spot. These winds chop up the wave faces, making conditions messy and blown-out. The swell itself, mostly from S and SSW, still arrives with decent period (12.9-14.1s), but without the right wind, it’s often unsurfable. Occasional pumping days can occur when a tropical system aligns with a northerly wind pulse, but they are rare. This is the season for a strike mission – be ready to go when conditions align.

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Conditions at Petacalco in August

August: Slight Uptick in Wind

August sees a minor improvement in wind over June/July, but conditions remain marginal. Average swell height 1.4m, period 13.2s. Swell leans SSW (67.0%) and S (27.3%). Wave heights are in the 1-1.5m range (45.6% from SSW) and 1.5-2m (17.1% from SSW). Wind is offshore 45% of the time. Onshore SW (14.8%) and a shift toward more S-SSE winds (S 8.4%, SSE 6.8%, SE 5.8%) create mixed conditions. The increased SE wind is cross-shore to onshore. Still, early morning often brings lighter offshore breezes from N-NE. The swell consistency is there, but quality is fickle. It's a month for checking forecasts and being flexible.

Average Spot conditions at Petacalco in August

Swell history for August

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for August

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Petacalco during August. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Petacalco for your next trip in August.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Petacalco for August. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Petacalco.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size