Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Petacalco seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (December - February)

The heart of winter delivers the most consistent conditions at Petacalco. With the North Pacific storm track firing, long-period SSW to SW swells roll in with average heights around 0.9-1.0m and periods pushing 13s+. Crucially, the wind is offshore (from the W to NNW) over 59% of the time in December and January, dropping to 53% in February. This combo means clean, groomed waves – often in the fun to solid range (0.5-1.5m) – with the occasional pumping set when a stronger storm aligns. The offshore flow strips the faces, creating rippable walls and long, peeling lines. It’s the prime window for quality surf at this southeast-facing beach.

Fair Surf Season (October - November & March - April)

Shoulder months bring a mix of potential and compromise. October and November see a ramp-up in swell energy (average 1.1-1.3m, periods 13.2s) as extratropical storms intensify, but the offshore wind frequency decreases to 50-59%. March and April maintain decent swell heights (1.1-1.3m) and periods (13.5-14.0s), yet the wind consistency drops to 50-52%. During these months, you’ll find plenty of rideable days, especially when winds clock around from the north. However, the window for pristine conditions narrows – you need to pick your days carefully. The swell is often powerful and long-period, but onshore flows (from S-SW) can quickly spoil the party.

Low Surf Season (May - September)

Summer and early fall are the most challenging for surfers at Petacalco. While average swell heights actually peak in September at 1.5m, the wind quality plummets – ideal offshore winds occur only 41-47% of the time. The dominant winds shift to S, SW, and WSW, which are onshore for this southeast-facing spot. These winds chop up the wave faces, making conditions messy and blown-out. The swell itself, mostly from S and SSW, still arrives with decent period (12.9-14.1s), but without the right wind, it’s often unsurfable. Occasional pumping days can occur when a tropical system aligns with a northerly wind pulse, but they are rare. This is the season for a strike mission – be ready to go when conditions align.

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Conditions at Petacalco in February

February: Winter Holds Strong

February remains excellent for surfing. Average swell height tickles 1.0m, period holds at 13.3s. Swell direction is dominated by SW (51.3%) and SSW (32.3%), with a smaller WSW component (14.7%). Most waves are in the 0.5-1m and 1-1.5m range, fun-sized to solid. A few bigger sets from 1.5-2m appear (0.8% from SW). Wind is offshore 53% of the time, slightly less than January, but still good. The wind rose shows a shift: less NNE (14.9%) and more SW (20.6%) wind – but note that SW wind is onshore for Petacalco. However, the offshore directions (N, NNE, NE, etc.) still dominate the lighter winds. Watch for thermal breezes that can add texture; early morning is often the cleanest. Overall, consistent, powerful swell with clean conditions on many days.

Average Spot conditions at Petacalco in February

Swell history for February

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for February

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Petacalco during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Petacalco for your next trip in February.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Petacalco for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Petacalco.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size