Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Pigsty seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life during these months as the polar jet stream strengthens and deepens, dragging a conveyor belt of powerful extratropical cyclones across the Norwegian Sea. Average swell heights climb from 1.3m in October to a peak of 1.6m in January, with periods regularly pushing into the 8-9s range. The dominant swell directions – WSW, W, WNW, and NW – align perfectly with Pigsty's west-northwest exposure, delivering consistent, groomed lines. Offshore winds from the east-northeast through southeast quadrant (ONO, O, OSO, SO) occur in the wake of passing lows, often under clearing skies. Despite a relatively low ideal wind frequency (11-15%), the combination of ample swell and occasional clean windows makes this the prime window for Pigsty's pumping, heavy, and firing waves.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

April and September represent transitional months where the clash of spring and autumn patterns yields mixed results. In April, the average swell drops to 0.9m with a period of 7.5s as the storm track weakens. However, a high percentage of swell still arrives from the optimal W-NW directions (over 50%), offering fun-sized, rippable waves on the better days. September sees a slight uptick to 1.0m and 7.1s, with the first autumn lows beginning to rekindle the Atlantic. Ideal wind frequency hovers around 9-12%, meaning patience and a keen eye on the forecast are required to catch the windows when light offshore flow aligns with solid, long-period swell.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

From May through August, Pigsty enters a deep slumber. The North Atlantic high-pressure system dominates, suppressing storm activity and delivering average swell heights of just 0.7-0.8m and periods below 7s. The majority of swell arrives from the NW and W, but at small, groveling sizes (mostly under 1.5m). Onshore winds from the west and northwest are prevalent due to thermal gradients, and ideal offshore winds become scarce (only 6% frequency in June, July, and August). While the occasional WNW groundswell might sneak in, the combination of weak, short-period swell and unfavorable wind makes this period largely one for longboarders or travelers seeking more consistent waves elsewhere.

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Conditions at Pigsty in October

October: Winter's First Roar

October is when the North Atlantic truly awakens. The average swell height jumps to 1.3m, with an average period of 7.5s. The optimal swell directions are well-represented: W (12.0%), WNW (10.8%), NW (11.5%), and WSW (10.8%). The distribution shows a healthy spread across the 0.5-1m, 1-1.5m, and 1.5-2m ranges, indicating consistent swell of varying sizes. The wind pattern becomes more dynamic: ideal offshore conditions occur 11% of the time, with increased contributions from ESE (9.2%) and SE (12.0%). However, onshore winds from the NNW (9.1%) and W-WNW still spoil many days. The key to October surf is tracking the low-pressure systems that deepen rapidly in the Norwegian Sea. In the wake of these systems, the wind often swings to the east, creating pristine conditions for Pigsty's peak. The combination of increasing swell size and occasional offshore wind windows makes October one of the most rewarding months.

Average Spot conditions at Pigsty in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Pigsty during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Pigsty for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Pigsty for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Pigsty.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size