Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Playa Teta seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

The heart of the south swell window arrives as the Intertropical Convergence Zone shifts north, firing long-period groundswells from the deep South Pacific. Playa Teta consistently sees waves in the 0.5-1m range, but with periods often exceeding 13 seconds, these are far from your average knee-high slop. The dominant SSW swell direction aligns perfectly with the beach's south-facing exposure, wrapping nicely into the bay. Meanwhile, the trade winds weaken and the Pacific high-pressure system relaxes, giving way to lighter, more variable winds. Thankfully, the prevailing NNW to N flow still blows offshore a solid 60-70% of the time, keeping the wave faces clean and lined up. It's a classic summer setup: warm water, consistent long-period swell, and glassy mornings. Don't let the modest wave heights fool you – when the period is right, these waves pack plenty of punch for grovelers and shortboarders alike.

Fair Surf Season (April, September - November)

These shoulder months offer a mixed bag but can still deliver excellent sessions. April sees the transition from north to south swell dominance, with SSW energy starting to ramp up and wind consistency still high (65% offshore). September and October, however, are a gamble: the fetch of the south swell machine remains full-on with a near-total dominance of SSW swell (over 95%), but the winds become more erratic as the ITCZ lingers. Onshore breezes from the SW and WSW creep in more often, dropping the ideal wind percentage to around 50-53%. Yet, when a strong high-pressure cell builds behind a cold front, it can drain northward, delivering clean offshore NW winds and glassy waves that rival the summer peak. November sees a return to steadier offshore flow (65%) as the trade regime reestablishes, but the swell energy begins to mix with shorter-period north pulses. The savvy surfer pays close attention to synoptic charts during these months – the right combination of a passing front and a lingering south swell can produce epic, shoulder-high surf with a tropical backdrop.

Low Surf Season (December - March)

The winter months bring a complete reversal – the dominant swell direction shifts to a north-northeasterly regime, generated by cold fronts and strong high-pressure systems over the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean. Playa Teta, facing SSE, sits in the shadow of this north pulse, so the vast majority of that energy is blocked or diffracted into weak, short-period windswell. While the wind is offshore and strong from the N and NNW over 60% of the time, the wave quality suffers due to the wrong swell angle. Averages drop to a small 0.7-0.8m with periods in the 7-9 second range, making for choppy, blown-out conditions even with favorable winds – though rare longer-period windows from the SSE or S can sneak in if a southern hemisphere storm aligns perfectly. The only saving grace is that the offshore winds are so consistent that any minor south swell will be groomed to perfection. For the patient surfer, a winter session here is about waiting for that brief south window, not the prevailing north junk. Most of the time, you'll find smaller, less organized waves – better suited for a longboard or a day at the beach.

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Conditions at Playa Teta in July

July: Ideal Winds Meet Prime South Swell

July offers the best combination of swell and wind reliability. The southern hemisphere winter is in full swing, producing relentless SSW swell – 90.3% of waves from that direction. Average period is 12.5 seconds, and wave heights again dominate in the 0.5-1m range (73.7%). The wind picture improves substantially: NNW and N winds blow 36% and 11.8% of the time respectively, giving a total ideal wind percentage of 70% – the highest of any month. The sea breeze is less aggressive, and strong offshore winds are common. This means clean, glassy conditions more often. The swell is consistent and reliable. Expect daily waist-high waves with excellent shape and light offshore winds. For a small-wave spot, this is about as good as it gets. July should be circled on the calendar for any surfer targeting Playa Teta for quality small-wave surfing.

Average Spot conditions at Playa Teta in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Playa Teta during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Playa Teta for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Playa Teta for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Playa Teta.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size