Red Tree Reef - surf spot statistics

Red Tree Reef is a reliable year-round surf spot, but the best conditions for surfers are concentrated in the winter and early spring months. From November through February, the swell consistency is excellent, with ground swell dominance (67%–82%) and minimal no-swell days. December and January stand out as prime months, offering the largest mean swell sizes (2.8m and 2.4m, respectively). However, these months also come with challenging wind conditions—bad winds prevail over 80% of the time, making clean sessions less frequent. February and March still provide solid swell (2.2m–2.0m) with slightly improved wind percentages (23% good wind days). April marks a transition, with ground swell decreasing (59%) and wind conditions marginally better (29% good winds). The summer months (May–September) see smaller swells (1.1m–1.6m) and a higher mix of wind swell, making conditions less ideal for advanced surfers. October brings a return of larger swells (2.1m) but retains poor wind reliability (79% bad winds). For the best balance of size and fewer onshore days, late winter and early spring (February–April) offer the most favorable trade-offs, though patience is needed for clean windows.

October at Red Tree Reef offers solid surf conditions with an average swell height of 2.1m and a long-period swell averaging 73.9s, providing powerful, well-formed waves. The dominant swell directions are from the SSW to WSW, with the most consistent waves in the 1.5-2.5m range (peaking at 8-10% frequency for WSW swells). These directions ensure clean, rideable waves when paired with favorable winds. However, only 21% of the time does the wind align ideally for surfing, as onshore tendencies from the S-SSW prevail. Wind speeds below 20kph occur frequently enough (around 50% of the time from those directions) to keep conditions surfable, but stronger winds can create chop. Expect a mix of quality sessions when winds are light or offshore (W-NW), particularly during smaller swell windows, and challenging but powerful waves when larger swells coincide with manageable winds. Overall, October delivers dependable surf, though wind conditions require patience for optimal sessions.