Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Refsnes seasonal overview

Refsnes, Norway, offers a mix of conditions throughout the year, with the best surf typically occurring during the winter months. The most consistent and powerful swells arrive between December and February, when ground swell makes up 25-29% of the swell mix, combining with a dominant wind swell (66-72%). Mean swell sizes peak around 2.0-2.2m during these months, providing solid waves for experienced surfers. However, wind conditions are generally unfavorable (85-87% bad wind days), meaning clean surf sessions are relatively rare. The transition months of September to November show improving ground swell presence (14-20%) and slightly better mean swell sizes (1.4-1.9m), but wind quality remains poor (87-88% bad winds). From April to August, conditions deteriorate significantly, with very low ground swell influence (4-22%) and small mean swell sizes (1.0-1.2m). Summer months (June-August) are particularly weak, with high wind swell dominance (75-79%) and increased no-swell days (15-20%). Wind conditions remain consistently poor year-round, rarely dropping below 83% bad wind days. For surfers willing to brave the cold, late autumn through early winter (November-February) offers the best chance for rideable waves, though finding clean conditions will require patience and good timing.

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Conditions at Refsnes in January

January at Refsnes offers challenging yet potentially rewarding conditions for experienced surfers. The average swell height is a solid 2.2m with a decent 9.3s period, indicating powerful, well-formed waves. The predominant swell direction comes from the southwest to west-southwest, with the best waves (1.5m–2.5m+) often arriving from SSW, SW, and WSW directions. Larger swells (over 2.5m) are more frequent from SW/WSW, providing heavier, powerful waves. However, winds are often the limiting factor—only 13% of days have ideal offshore or light wind conditions. The wind tends to blow from the SE to SSW at moderate to strong speeds (20–50kph), which can create choppy or cross-shore conditions. For surfers comfortable in heavier waves, the biggest opportunities come when winds shift to easterly or northeasterly directions, cleaning up the sizable swell. Expect raw North Atlantic conditions: cold, powerful, and best suited for those prepared for challenging paddling and variable winds. The spot works best on bigger days with favorable wind alignment, though consistency is limited.

Average Spot conditions at Refsnes in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Refsnes during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Refsnes for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Refsnes for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Refsnes.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size